Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 17.577725 20.019608 22.789414 26.186971 30.273930 35.072239 41.192084
2025-08-17 14.143106 17.140950 20.836247 25.803650 32.428289 41.140933 53.785566
2025-08-24 12.238269 15.446643 19.626041 25.609482 34.199799 46.496687 66.250847
2025-08-31 10.733534 13.961499 18.344554 24.931547 34.957446 50.340889 77.292831
2025-09-07 9.702819 12.946482 17.509859 24.664359 36.137483 54.900913 90.610273
2025-09-14 8.634687 11.742432 16.232845 23.504688 35.650730 56.554060 99.151533
2025-09-21 7.729706 10.677341 15.031514 22.276833 34.805876 57.345938 106.175161
2025-09-28 7.098954 9.956420 14.269679 21.642702 34.845385 59.701675 117.130522
2025-10-05 7.291438 10.490637 15.499490 24.466578 41.536369 76.412348 167.321296
2025-10-12 7.073590 10.359356 15.637310 25.403028 44.841487 87.076535 208.140825
2025-10-19 6.575763 9.737145 14.897404 24.646853 44.617805 89.798755 227.946486
2025-10-26 6.387499 9.603220 14.970046 25.410594 47.686812 101.123481 281.143110
2025-11-02 6.009243 9.140903 14.458106 25.041742 48.367250 107.051039 321.615965
2025-11-09 5.665527 8.713486 13.973396 24.674380 49.009759 113.180450 368.284654
2025-11-16 5.382128 8.367859 13.603912 24.491460 50.049297 120.793479 428.392948
2025-11-23 5.064569 7.940645 13.047984 23.851601 49.860289 124.736415 475.702724
2025-11-30 4.824557 7.634334 12.693130 23.599345 50.607623 131.922424 548.407184
2025-12-07 4.501717 7.160923 11.986427 22.503928 48.980119 130.822476 573.178304
2025-12-14 4.195578 6.702006 11.279042 21.343108 47.016635 128.108687 586.560994
2025-12-21 3.976878 6.390768 10.838712 20.743183 46.499338 130.458073 638.137308
2025-12-28 4.129833 6.768401 11.777408 23.412586 55.714028 173.321446 1088.394459
2026-01-04 4.079911 6.763557 11.947876 24.296624 59.968836 199.234114 1488.602908
2026-01-11 3.879916 6.462412 11.487473 23.582815 59.113285 202.053600 1634.051117